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Tag Archives: global markets

Asset Allocation Weekly Insights

Weekly Asset Allocation Highlights

  • The out-performance of domestic assets continued last week
  • A 60/40 mix of purely US assets vastly out-performed a global version
  • US large and small cap stocks had an up week but REITS were the standout performer
  • REITS have been all year moving along with rates but recently their correlation to equities has increased
  • EM stocks continue having a rough year

Currencies:

  • The USD keeps chugging along notching small weekly wins
  • EM currencies continue their pattern of depreciation
  • Among the majors, sterling took the biggest hit despite an increase in ST rates
  • The yuan continues depreciating in a controlled fashion

Commodities:

  • A week of recovery for grains as President Trump has offered assistance
  • Wheat is least affected by global trade fears and has continued on a solid Up Trend
  • Gold and Silver continue a downtrend with little sign of relief especially as ST interest rates keep climbing higher
  • Lumber prices are breaking down due to over-valuation and a possible dispute with Canada over newly imposed tariffs

This Coming Week:

  • Q2 earnings in the US almost done – above average earnings season
  • Watching the USD – expecting some depreciation as other central banks start their normalization plans
  • Expecting momentum as a factor to start losing effectiveness – last week saw a resurgence of value and yield-oriented strategies
  • In the US the key macro number to watch is the CPI – expect a further slow rise
  • GDP releases in Japan and England, in China we are expecting Trade Balance numbers as well as CPI

To read our full weekly report please click here

Eric J. Weigel

Global Focus Capital LLC

eweigel@gf-cap.com

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Publications:

Weekly Asset Allocation Review – Free

Weekly Equity Themes Review – Free

The Equity Observer (Monthly) – Subscription Required

The Asset Allocation Advisor (Monthly) – Subscription Required

 

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